The record · SOCCER
Slavia Prague at Fenerbahce: our pick
We called Fenerbahce at 61%, locked Oct 20, 11:30 AM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Slavia Prague 2–2 Fenerbahce. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 61% is the betting market's own price for Fenerbahce: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 3.2 points toward Fenerbahce.
Our last 1 graded call on Fenerbahce: 1 right.
At 61%, a pick like this still loses about 39 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 1
- Fenerbahce avg margin
- -6.0
Only 1 graded game on Fenerbahce so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Fenerbahce's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win chance | 61% | 65% |
| Total | 3.5 | 3.5 |
- Pick locked: Fenerbahce at 61%.
- Market closed with Fenerbahce at 65%, 3.2 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Slavia Prague 2–2 Fenerbahce. Wrong.
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