The record · SOCCER
Real Betis at Celta Vigo: our pick
We called Real Betis at 40%, locked Oct 25, 10:08 AM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Real Betis 0–0 Celta Vigo. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 40% is the betting market's own price for Real Betis: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 4 graded calls on Real Betis: 4 right.
At 40%, a pick like this still loses about 60 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 4
- Real Betis avg margin
- +0.5
Only 4 graded games on Real Betis so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Real Betis's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Real Betis win chance | 40% | 40% |
| Total | 2.5 | 2.5 |
- Pick locked: Real Betis at 40%.
- Market closed with Real Betis at 40%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Real Betis 0–0 Celta Vigo. Wrong.
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