The record · SOCCER
Atalanta at Fiorentina: our pick
We called Fiorentina at 42%, locked Oct 29, 2:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Atalanta 2–2 Fiorentina. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 42% is the betting market's own price for Fiorentina: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.9 points away from Fiorentina.
Our last 3 graded calls on Fiorentina: 2 right.
At 42%, a pick like this still loses about 58 times in 100.
Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.
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- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Fiorentina avg margin
- -1.3
Only 3 graded games on Fiorentina so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Fiorentina's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina win chance | 42% | 41% |
| Total | 3.5 | 3.5 |
- Pick locked: Fiorentina at 42%.
- Market closed with Fiorentina at 41%, 0.9 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Atalanta 2–2 Fiorentina. Wrong.
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