The record · SOCCER
Udinese at Parma: our pick
We called Parma at 35%, locked Oct 28, 11:30 AM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Udinese 0–0 Parma. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 35% is the betting market's own price for Parma: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.7 points away from Parma.
Our last 3 graded calls on Parma: 3 right.
At 35%, a pick like this still loses about 65 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 3
- Parma avg margin
- -2.3
Only 3 graded games on Parma so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Parma's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Parma win chance | 35% | 34% |
| Total | 2.5 | 2.5 |
- Pick locked: Parma at 35%.
- Market closed with Parma at 34%, 0.7 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Udinese 0–0 Parma. Wrong.
Fingerprint
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