The record · NHL
Winnipeg Jets at Tampa Bay Lightning: our pick
We called the Tampa Bay Lightning at 67%, locked Oct 29, 5:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Winnipeg Jets 4–6 Tampa Bay Lightning. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 67% is the betting market's own price for the Tampa Bay Lightning: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 9 graded calls on the Tampa Bay Lightning: 7 right.
At 67%, a pick like this still loses about 33 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Tampa Bay Lightning avg margin
- +0.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Tampa Bay Lightning's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning win chance | 67% | 67% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 6.5 | 6.5 |
- Pick locked: the Tampa Bay Lightning at 67%.
- Market closed with the Tampa Bay Lightning at 67%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Winnipeg Jets 4–6 Tampa Bay Lightning. Right.
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