The record · NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning at Colorado Avalanche: our pick
We called the Colorado Avalanche at 53%, locked Oct 23, 8:54 PM ET, less than an hour before kickoff.
Final: Tampa Bay Lightning 3–6 Colorado Avalanche. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the Colorado Avalanche: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.7 points away from the Colorado Avalanche.
Our last 8 graded calls on the Colorado Avalanche: 4 right.
At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 40%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 5
- Colorado Avalanche avg margin
- +0.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Colorado Avalanche's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche win chance | 53% | 53% |
| Colorado Avalanche spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 6.5 | 6.5 |
- Pick locked: the Colorado Avalanche at 53%.
- Market closed with the Colorado Avalanche at 53%, 0.7 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Tampa Bay Lightning 3–6 Colorado Avalanche. Right.
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