The record · NHL
San Jose Sharks at Montreal Canadiens: our pick
We called the Montreal Canadiens at 67%, locked Oct 20, 6:51 PM ET, less than an hour before kickoff.
Final: San Jose Sharks 4–3 Montreal Canadiens. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 67% is the betting market's own price for the Montreal Canadiens: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 5 graded calls on the Montreal Canadiens: 4 right.
At 67%, a pick like this still loses about 33 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Montreal Canadiens avg margin
- -1.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Montreal Canadiens's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens win chance | 67% | 67% |
| Montreal Canadiens spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 6.5 | 6.5 |
- Pick locked: the Montreal Canadiens at 67%.
- Market closed with the Montreal Canadiens at 67%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: San Jose Sharks 4–3 Montreal Canadiens. Wrong.
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