The record · NHL
Colorado Avalanche at Philadelphia Flyers: our pick
We called the Colorado Avalanche at 69%, locked Oct 19, 5:53 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Colorado Avalanche 2–3 Philadelphia Flyers. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 69% is the betting market's own price for the Colorado Avalanche: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 6 graded calls on the Colorado Avalanche: 3 right.
At 69%, a pick like this still loses about 31 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 40%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 5
- Colorado Avalanche avg margin
- +1.4
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Colorado Avalanche's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche win chance | 69% | 69% |
| Colorado Avalanche spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 6.5 | 6.5 |
- Pick locked: the Colorado Avalanche at 69%.
- Market closed with the Colorado Avalanche at 69%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Colorado Avalanche 2–3 Philadelphia Flyers. Wrong.
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