The record · NBA
Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers: our pick
We called the Portland Trail Blazers at 73%, locked Oct 29, 8:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Memphis Grizzlies 124–103 Portland Trail Blazers. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 73% is the betting market's own price for the Portland Trail Blazers: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.4 points away from the Portland Trail Blazers.
Our last 4 graded calls on the Portland Trail Blazers: 2 right.
At 73%, a pick like this still loses about 27 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 29, 10:17 PM ET at Q1 8:50: Portland Trail Blazers 86% to win, called at 73%.
Call 73% Alert 86% at 8:50 - 1stLast live read 1% (21.0 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 50%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 4
- Portland Trail Blazers avg margin
- +11.5
Only 4 graded games on Portland Trail Blazers so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Portland Trail Blazers's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Portland Trail Blazers win chance | 73% | 72% |
| Portland Trail Blazers spread | -7.5 | -7.5 |
| Total | 232.5 | 232.5 |
- Pick locked: the Portland Trail Blazers at 73%.
- Market closed with the Portland Trail Blazers at 72%, 0.4 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 8:50: the Portland Trail Blazers 86% to win, called at 73%.
- Final: Memphis Grizzlies 124–103 Portland Trail Blazers. Wrong.
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