The record · NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks: our pick
We called the Oklahoma City Thunder at 65%, locked Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 96–120 Dallas Mavericks. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 65% is the betting market's own price for the Oklahoma City Thunder: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.5 points away from the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Our last 8 graded calls on the Oklahoma City Thunder: 5 right.
At 65%, a pick like this still loses about 35 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 65%Last live read 1% (End of 4th)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Oklahoma City Thunder avg margin
- +3.0
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Oklahoma City Thunder's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder win chance | 65% | 64% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder spread | -5.5 | -5.5 |
| Total | 226.5 | 228.5 |
- Pick locked: the Oklahoma City Thunder at 65%.
- Market closed with the Oklahoma City Thunder at 64%, 1.5 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 96–120 Dallas Mavericks. Wrong.
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