The record · NBA
Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves: our pick
We called the Minnesota Timberwolves at 61%, locked Oct 28, 6:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Golden State Warriors 119–114 Minnesota Timberwolves. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 61% is the betting market's own price for the Minnesota Timberwolves: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 7 graded calls on the Minnesota Timberwolves: 4 right.
At 61%, a pick like this still loses about 39 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 28, 8:17 PM ET at Q1 8:17: Minnesota Timberwolves 73% to win, called at 61%.
Call 61% Alert 73% at 8:17 - 1stLast live read 1% (0.0 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- Minnesota Timberwolves avg margin
- +10.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Minnesota Timberwolves's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Timberwolves win chance | 61% | 61% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves spread | -3.5 | -4.5 |
| Total | 227.5 | 227.5 |
- Pick locked: the Minnesota Timberwolves at 61%.
- Market closed with the Minnesota Timberwolves at 61%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 8:17: the Minnesota Timberwolves 73% to win, called at 61%.
- Final: Golden State Warriors 119–114 Minnesota Timberwolves. Wrong.
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