The record · NBA
Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns: our pick
We called the Phoenix Suns at 78%, locked Oct 24, 8:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Golden State Warriors 122–131 Phoenix Suns. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 78% is the betting market's own price for the Phoenix Suns: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.6 points toward the Phoenix Suns.
Our last 4 graded calls on the Phoenix Suns: 2 right.
At 78%, a pick like this still loses about 22 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 11:40 PM ET at Q3 8:12: Phoenix Suns 94% to win, called at 78%.
Call 78% Alert 94% at 8:12 - 3rdLast live read 100% (26.6 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 50%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 4
- Phoenix Suns avg margin
- -13.3
Only 4 graded games on Phoenix Suns so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Phoenix Suns's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns win chance | 78% | 79% |
| Phoenix Suns spread | -9.5 | -9.5 |
| Total | 221.5 | 221.5 |
- Pick locked: the Phoenix Suns at 78%.
- Market closed with the Phoenix Suns at 79%, 0.6 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q3 8:12: the Phoenix Suns 94% to win, called at 78%.
- Final: Golden State Warriors 122–131 Phoenix Suns. Right.
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