The record · NBA
Washington Wizards at Chicago Bulls: our pick
We called the Chicago Bulls at 55%, locked Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Washington Wizards 124–120 Chicago Bulls. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 55% is the betting market's own price for the Chicago Bulls: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.1 points away from the Chicago Bulls, and the spread went from -2.5 to -1.5.
Our last 5 graded calls on the Chicago Bulls: 3 right.
At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 8:20 PM ET at Q1 7:53: Chicago Bulls 67% to win, called at 55%.
Call 55% Alert 67% at 7:53 - 1stLast live read 1% (2.7 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- Chicago Bulls avg margin
- -3.4
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Chicago Bulls's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bulls win chance | 55% | 53% |
| Chicago Bulls spread | -2.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 244.5 | 244.5 |
- Pick locked: the Chicago Bulls at 55%.
- Market closed with the Chicago Bulls at 53%, 1.1 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 7:53: the Chicago Bulls 67% to win, called at 55%.
- Final: Washington Wizards 124–120 Chicago Bulls. Wrong.
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