The record · NBA
Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors: our pick
We called the Golden State Warriors at 59%, locked Oct 23, 8:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Memphis Grizzlies 111–108 Golden State Warriors. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 59% is the betting market's own price for the Golden State Warriors: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.1 points toward the Golden State Warriors.
Our last 3 graded calls on the Golden State Warriors: 2 right.
At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 12:17 AM ET at Q3 0:47: Golden State Warriors 76% to win, called at 59%.
Call 59% Alert 76% at 47.5 - 3rdLast live read 1% (0.0 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Golden State Warriors avg margin
- -2.3
Only 3 graded games on Golden State Warriors so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Golden State Warriors's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors win chance | 59% | 60% |
| Golden State Warriors spread | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Total | 236.5 | 236.5 |
- Pick locked: the Golden State Warriors at 59%.
- Market closed with the Golden State Warriors at 60%, 1.1 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q3 0:47: the Golden State Warriors 76% to win, called at 59%.
- Final: Memphis Grizzlies 111–108 Golden State Warriors. Wrong.
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