The record · NBA
Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat: our pick
We called the Detroit Pistons at 53%, locked Oct 23, 6:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Detroit Pistons 128–111 Miami Heat. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the Detroit Pistons: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.1 points toward the Detroit Pistons, and the spread went from -1.5 to -2.5.
Our last 3 graded calls on the Detroit Pistons: 2 right.
At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 23, 8:15 PM ET at Q1 10:26: Detroit Pistons 72% to win, called at 53%.
Call 53% Alert 72% at 10:26 - 1stLast live read 100% (11.1 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Detroit Pistons avg margin
- +4.7
Only 3 graded games on Detroit Pistons so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Detroit Pistons's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Pistons win chance | 53% | 55% |
| Detroit Pistons spread | -1.5 | -2.5 |
| Total | 235.5 | 235.5 |
- Pick locked: the Detroit Pistons at 53%.
- Market closed with the Detroit Pistons at 55%, 1.1 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 10:26: the Detroit Pistons 72% to win, called at 53%.
- Final: Detroit Pistons 128–111 Miami Heat. Right.
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