The record · NBA
Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder: our pick
We called the Oklahoma City Thunder at 76%, locked Oct 22, 7:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Denver Nuggets 84–96 Oklahoma City Thunder. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 76% is the betting market's own price for the Oklahoma City Thunder: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 5 graded calls on the Oklahoma City Thunder: 2 right.
At 76%, a pick like this still loses about 24 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 22, 11:39 PM ET at Q3 0:00: Oklahoma City Thunder 89% to win, called at 76%.
Call 76% Alert 89% at 0.0 - 3rdLast live read 100% (4.5 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 40%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 5
- Oklahoma City Thunder avg margin
- -4.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Oklahoma City Thunder's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder win chance | 76% | 76% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder spread | -7.5 | -8.5 |
| Total | 236.5 | 236.5 |
- Pick locked: the Oklahoma City Thunder at 76%.
- Market closed with the Oklahoma City Thunder at 76%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q3 0:00: the Oklahoma City Thunder 89% to win, called at 76%.
- Final: Denver Nuggets 84–96 Oklahoma City Thunder. Right.
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