The record · NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat: our pick
We called the Miami Heat at 52%, locked Oct 21, 5:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Minnesota Timberwolves 131–106 Miami Heat. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 52% is the betting market's own price for the Miami Heat: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.5 points away from the Miami Heat.
Our last 3 graded calls on the Miami Heat: 3 right.
At 52%, a pick like this still loses about 48 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 52%Last live read 1% (22.2 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 3
- Miami Heat avg margin
- +1.7
Only 3 graded games on Miami Heat so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Miami Heat's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat win chance | 52% | 52% |
| Miami Heat spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 240.5 | 240.5 |
- Pick locked: the Miami Heat at 52%.
- Market closed with the Miami Heat at 52%, 0.5 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Minnesota Timberwolves 131–106 Miami Heat. Wrong.
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