The record · NBA
Boston Celtics at Detroit Pistons: our pick
We called the Boston Celtics at 53%, locked Oct 20, 1:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Boston Celtics 113–121 Detroit Pistons. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the Boston Celtics: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.7 points toward the Boston Celtics.
Our last 3 graded calls on the Boston Celtics: 2 right.
At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 20, 3:39 PM ET at Q2 11:19: Boston Celtics 67% to win, called at 53%.
Call 53% Alert 67% at 11:19 - 2ndLast live read 1% (6.7 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Boston Celtics avg margin
- +12.3
Only 3 graded games on Boston Celtics so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Boston Celtics's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Boston Celtics win chance | 53% | 53% |
| Boston Celtics spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 219.5 | 220.5 |
- Pick locked: the Boston Celtics at 53%.
- Market closed with the Boston Celtics at 53%, 0.7 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 11:19: the Boston Celtics 67% to win, called at 53%.
- Final: Boston Celtics 113–121 Detroit Pistons. Wrong.
Fingerprint
2677412e86e8b159b10f33ffd7099d65f09b46ec619aefff03ce4fc9091d2d44