The record · CFB
North Dakota State at New Mexico: our pick
We called New Mexico at 65%, locked Oct 24, 8:01 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: North Dakota State 16–21 New Mexico. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 65% is the betting market's own price for New Mexico: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 2 graded calls on New Mexico: 2 right.
At 65%, a pick like this still loses about 35 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 10:39 PM ET at Q1 11:01: New Mexico 82% to win, called at 65%.
Call 65% Alert 82% at Q1 11:01Last live read 92% (Q4 2:00)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- New Mexico avg margin
- +23.0
Only 2 graded games on New Mexico so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: New Mexico's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| New Mexico win chance | 65% | 65% |
- Pick locked: New Mexico at 65%.
- Market closed with New Mexico at 65%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 11:01: New Mexico 82% to win, called at 65%.
- Final: North Dakota State 16–21 New Mexico. Right.
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