The record · CFB
Utah State at Texas State: our pick
We called Texas State at 84%, locked Oct 24, 5:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Utah State 17–20 Texas State. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 84% is the betting market's own price for Texas State: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 4 graded calls on Texas State: 2 right.
At 84%, a pick like this still loses about 16 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 84%Last live read 99% (Q4 0:11)
- Our calls right
- 50%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 4
- Texas State avg margin
- +11.5
Only 4 graded games on Texas State so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Texas State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Texas State win chance | 84% | 84% |
- Pick locked: Texas State at 84%.
- Market closed with Texas State at 84%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Utah State 17–20 Texas State. Right.
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