The record · CFB
Georgia State at Arkansas State: our pick
We called Georgia State at 56%, locked Oct 24, 5:01 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Georgia State 32–38 Arkansas State. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 56% is the betting market's own price for Georgia State: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on Georgia State: 2 right.
At 56%, a pick like this still loses about 44 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 56%Last live read 1% (Q4 0:15)
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Georgia State avg margin
- +10.7
Only 3 graded games on Georgia State so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Georgia State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Georgia State win chance | 56% | 56% |
| Georgia State spread | -1 | -1 |
| Total | 58.5 | 58.5 |
- Pick locked: Georgia State at 56%.
- Market closed with Georgia State at 56%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Georgia State 32–38 Arkansas State. Wrong.
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