The record · CFB
San Diego State at Colorado State: our pick
We called San Diego State at 51%, locked Oct 24, 4:31 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: San Diego State 49–56 Colorado State. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 51% is the betting market's own price for San Diego State: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 5 graded calls on San Diego State: 2 right.
At 51%, a pick like this still loses about 49 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 7:35 PM ET at Q2 13:34: San Diego State 61% to win, called at 51%.
Call 51% Alert 61% at Q2 13:34Last live read 8% (Q4 1:57)
- Our calls right
- 40%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 5
- San Diego State avg margin
- -15.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: San Diego State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| San Diego State win chance | 51% | 51% |
| San Diego State spread | +1.5 | +1.5 |
| Total | 59.5 | 59.5 |
- Pick locked: San Diego State at 51%.
- Market closed with San Diego State at 51%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 13:34: San Diego State 61% to win, called at 51%.
- Final: San Diego State 49–56 Colorado State. Wrong.
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