The record · CFB
San José State at Nevada: our pick
We called Nevada at 69%, locked Oct 24, 3:04 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: San José State 13–28 Nevada. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 69% is the betting market's own price for Nevada: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on Nevada: 3 right.
At 69%, a pick like this still loses about 31 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 5:31 PM ET at Q1 4:48: Nevada 84% to win, called at 69%.
Call 69% Alert 84% at Q1 4:48Last live read 99% (Q4 1:23)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 3
- Nevada avg margin
- 0.0
Only 3 graded games on Nevada so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Nevada's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Nevada win chance | 69% | 69% |
- Pick locked: Nevada at 69%.
- Market closed with Nevada at 69%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 4:48: Nevada 84% to win, called at 69%.
- Final: San José State 13–28 Nevada. Right.
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