The record · CFB
North Texas at Navy: our pick
We called North Texas at 59%, locked Oct 24, 1:34 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: North Texas 49–39 Navy. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 59% is the betting market's own price for North Texas: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.2 points toward North Texas.
Our last 3 graded calls on North Texas: 2 right.
At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 3:59 PM ET at Q1 7:24: North Texas 78% to win, called at 59%.
Call 59% Alert 78% at Q1 7:24Last live read 99% (Q4 2:54)
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- North Texas avg margin
- +21.3
Only 3 graded games on North Texas so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: North Texas's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| North Texas win chance | 59% | 59% |
| North Texas spread | +1 | +1 |
| Total | 62.5 | 60.5 |
- Pick locked: North Texas at 59%.
- Market closed with North Texas at 59%, 0.2 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 7:24: North Texas 78% to win, called at 59%.
- Final: North Texas 49–39 Navy. Right.
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