The record · CFB
UL Monroe at Troy: our pick
We called Troy at 83%, locked Oct 24, 2:02 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: UL Monroe 21–14 Troy. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 83% is the betting market's own price for Troy: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.8 points toward Troy.
Our last 2 graded calls on Troy: 2 right.
At 83%, a pick like this still loses about 17 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 6:53 PM ET at Q4 6:16: Troy 97% to win, called at 83%.
Call 83% Alert 97% at Q4 6:16Last live read 4% (Q4 0:06)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- Troy avg margin
- +5.5
Only 2 graded games on Troy so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Troy's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Troy win chance | 83% | 85% |
- Pick locked: Troy at 83%.
- Market closed with Troy at 85%, 1.8 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q4 6:16: Troy 97% to win, called at 83%.
- Final: UL Monroe 21–14 Troy. Wrong.
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