The record · CFB
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan: our pick
We called Miami (OH) at 61%, locked Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET, less than an hour before kickoff.
Final: Miami (OH) 28–27 Central Michigan. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 61% is the betting market's own price for Miami (OH): 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on Miami (OH): 2 right.
At 61%, a pick like this still loses about 39 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 1:42 PM ET at Q1 0:31: Miami (OH) 72% to win, called at 61%.
Call 61% Alert 72% at Q1 0:31Last live read 77% (Q4 0:39)
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Miami (OH) avg margin
- +5.7
Only 3 graded games on Miami (OH) so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Miami (OH)'s final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) win chance | 61% | 61% |
| Miami (OH) spread | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Total | 40.5 | 40.5 |
- Pick locked: Miami (OH) at 61%.
- Market closed with Miami (OH) at 61%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 0:31: Miami (OH) 72% to win, called at 61%.
- Final: Miami (OH) 28–27 Central Michigan. Right.
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