The record · CFB
Bowling Green at Buffalo: our pick
We called Buffalo at 59%, locked Oct 24, 1:34 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Bowling Green 24–31 Buffalo. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 59% is the betting market's own price for Buffalo: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.3 points away from Buffalo.
Our last 4 graded calls on Buffalo: 3 right.
At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 3:59 PM ET at Q1 7:08: Buffalo 78% to win, called at 59%.
Call 59% Alert 78% at Q1 7:08Last live read 96% (Q4 1:00)
- Our calls right
- 75%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 4
- Buffalo avg margin
- +1.5
Only 4 graded games on Buffalo so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Buffalo's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo win chance | 59% | 58% |
- Pick locked: Buffalo at 59%.
- Market closed with Buffalo at 58%, 1.3 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 7:08: Buffalo 78% to win, called at 59%.
- Final: Bowling Green 24–31 Buffalo. Right.
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