The record · CFB
UTSA at Tulane: our pick
We called UTSA at 57%, locked Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: UTSA 42–19 Tulane. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 57% is the betting market's own price for UTSA: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 5 graded calls on UTSA: 4 right.
At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 8:52 PM ET at Q2 15:00: UTSA 77% to win, called at 57%.
Call 57% Alert 77% at Q2 15:00Last live read 100% (Q4 2:00)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- UTSA avg margin
- -1.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: UTSA's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| UTSA win chance | 57% | 57% |
| UTSA spread | -1 | -1 |
| Total | 51.5 | 51.5 |
- Pick locked: UTSA at 57%.
- Market closed with UTSA at 57%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 15:00: UTSA 77% to win, called at 57%.
- Final: UTSA 42–19 Tulane. Right.
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