The record · CFB
Syracuse at North Carolina: our pick
We called North Carolina at 77%, locked Oct 24, 5:31 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Syracuse 31–30 North Carolina. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 77% is the betting market's own price for North Carolina: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on North Carolina: 2 right.
At 77%, a pick like this still loses about 23 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 7:51 PM ET at Q1 9:55: North Carolina 88% to win, called at 77%.
Call 77% Alert 88% at Q1 9:55Last live read 51% (Q4 0:04)
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- North Carolina avg margin
- -5.0
Only 3 graded games on North Carolina so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: North Carolina's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| North Carolina win chance | 77% | 77% |
- Pick locked: North Carolina at 77%.
- Market closed with North Carolina at 77%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 9:55: North Carolina 88% to win, called at 77%.
- Final: Syracuse 31–30 North Carolina. Wrong.
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