The record · CFB
Iowa State at Arizona: our pick
We called Arizona at 78%, locked Oct 24, 5:45 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Iowa State 3–39 Arizona. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 78% is the betting market's own price for Arizona: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 2 graded calls on Arizona: 2 right.
At 78%, a pick like this still loses about 22 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 7:51 PM ET at Q1 11:08: Arizona 88% to win, called at 78%.
Call 78% Alert 88% at Q1 11:08Last live read 100% (Q4 1:49)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- Arizona avg margin
- +7.0
Only 2 graded games on Arizona so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Arizona's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona win chance | 78% | 78% |
- Pick locked: Arizona at 78%.
- Market closed with Arizona at 78%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 11:08: Arizona 88% to win, called at 78%.
- Final: Iowa State 3–39 Arizona. Right.
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