The record · CFB
Baylor at Kansas: our pick
We called Baylor at 52%, locked Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET, less than an hour before kickoff.
Final: Baylor 24–25 Kansas. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 52% is the betting market's own price for Baylor: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on Baylor: 1 right.
At 52%, a pick like this still loses about 48 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET at Q3 13:29: Baylor 78% to win, called at 52%.
Call 52% Alert 78% at Q3 13:29Last live read 15% (Q4 0:18)
- Our calls right
- 33%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 3
- Baylor avg margin
- +14.0
Only 3 graded games on Baylor so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Baylor's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Baylor win chance | 52% | 52% |
| Baylor spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 53.5 | 53.5 |
- Pick locked: Baylor at 52%.
- Market closed with Baylor at 52%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q3 13:29: Baylor 78% to win, called at 52%.
- Final: Baylor 24–25 Kansas. Wrong.
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