The record · CFB
Vanderbilt at Kentucky: our pick
We called Kentucky at 80%, locked Oct 24, 5:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Vanderbilt 17–34 Kentucky. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 80% is the betting market's own price for Kentucky: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 5 graded calls on Kentucky: 1 right.
At 80%, a pick like this still loses about 20 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 9:36 PM ET at Q3 9:50: Kentucky 96% to win, called at 80%.
Call 80% Alert 96% at Q3 9:50Last live read 100% (Q4 1:51)
- Our calls right
- 20%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 5
- Kentucky avg margin
- -1.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Kentucky's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Kentucky win chance | 80% | 80% |
- Pick locked: Kentucky at 80%.
- Market closed with Kentucky at 80%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q3 9:50: Kentucky 96% to win, called at 80%.
- Final: Vanderbilt 17–34 Kentucky. Right.
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