The record · CFB
Michigan State at UCLA: our pick
We called UCLA at 87%, locked Oct 24, 1:34 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Michigan State 10–28 UCLA. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 87% is the betting market's own price for UCLA: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.9 points toward UCLA.
Our last 5 graded calls on UCLA: 4 right.
At 87%, a pick like this still loses about 13 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 6:13 PM ET at Q3 4:11: UCLA 99% to win, called at 87%.
Call 87% Alert 100% at Q3 4:11Last live read 100% (Q4 1:29)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- UCLA avg margin
- +19.0
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: UCLA's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| UCLA win chance | 87% | 89% |
- Pick locked: UCLA at 87%.
- Market closed with UCLA at 89%, 1.9 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q3 4:11: UCLA 99% to win, called at 87%.
- Final: Michigan State 10–28 UCLA. Right.
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