The record · CFB
Iowa at Minnesota: our pick
We called Iowa at 73%, locked Oct 24, 1:36 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Iowa 10–13 Minnesota. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 73% is the betting market's own price for Iowa: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.0 points toward Iowa.
Our last 4 graded calls on Iowa: 3 right.
At 73%, a pick like this still loses about 27 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 73%Last live read 51% (Q4 0:04)
- Our calls right
- 75%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 4
- Iowa avg margin
- +10.5
Only 4 graded games on Iowa so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Iowa's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Iowa win chance | 73% | 73% |
| Iowa spread | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Total | 40.5 | 40.5 |
- Pick locked: Iowa at 73%.
- Market closed with Iowa at 73%, 0.0 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Iowa 10–13 Minnesota. Wrong.
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