The record · CFB
USC at Wisconsin: our pick
We called USC at 57%, locked Oct 24, 5:37 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: USC 7–24 Wisconsin. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 57% is the betting market's own price for USC: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 2 graded calls on USC: 1 right.
At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 8:36 PM ET at Q2 0:40: USC 71% to win, called at 57%.
Call 57% Alert 71% at Q2 0:40Last live read 0% (Q4 1:28)
- Our calls right
- 50%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 2
- USC avg margin
- +7.5
Only 2 graded games on USC so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: USC's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| USC win chance | 57% | 57% |
| USC spread | -1 | -1 |
| Total | 49.5 | 49.5 |
- Pick locked: USC at 57%.
- Market closed with USC at 57%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 0:40: USC 71% to win, called at 57%.
- Final: USC 7–24 Wisconsin. Wrong.
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