The record · CFB
Oklahoma at Mississippi State: our pick
We called Oklahoma at 56%, locked Oct 24, 1:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Oklahoma 23–15 Mississippi State. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 56% is the betting market's own price for Oklahoma: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.9 points away from Oklahoma, and the spread went from -1 to +1.5.
Our last 3 graded calls on Oklahoma: 1 right.
At 56%, a pick like this still loses about 44 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 4:43 PM ET at Q2 2:20: Oklahoma 66% to win, called at 56%.
Call 56% Alert 66% at Q2 2:20Last live read 96% (Q4 1:06)
- Our calls right
- 33%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 3
- Oklahoma avg margin
- +1.0
Only 3 graded games on Oklahoma so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Oklahoma's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma win chance | 56% | 54% |
| Oklahoma spread | -1 | +1.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 48.5 |
- Pick locked: Oklahoma at 56%.
- Market closed with Oklahoma at 54%, 1.9 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 2:20: Oklahoma 66% to win, called at 56%.
- Final: Oklahoma 23–15 Mississippi State. Right.
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