The record · CFB
Tennessee at South Carolina: our pick
We called South Carolina at 55%, locked Oct 24, 1:32 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Tennessee 24–27 South Carolina. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 55% is the betting market's own price for South Carolina: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.2 points toward South Carolina.
Our last 3 graded calls on South Carolina: 1 right.
At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 3:53 PM ET at Q1 10:02: South Carolina 74% to win, called at 55%.
Call 55% Alert 74% at Q1 10:02Last live read 50% (Q4 0:29)
- Our calls right
- 33%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 3
- South Carolina avg margin
- -13.0
Only 3 graded games on South Carolina so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: South Carolina's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| South Carolina win chance | 55% | 55% |
| South Carolina spread | +1 | +1 |
| Total | 50.5 | 50.5 |
- Pick locked: South Carolina at 55%.
- Market closed with South Carolina at 55%, 0.2 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 10:02: South Carolina 74% to win, called at 55%.
- Final: Tennessee 24–27 South Carolina. Right.
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