The record · CFB
Houston at Utah: our pick
We called Utah at 70%, locked Oct 24, 8:19 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Houston 13–21 Utah. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 70% is the betting market's own price for Utah: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 4 graded calls on Utah: 4 right.
At 70%, a pick like this still loses about 30 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 25, 1:40 AM ET at Q4 2:09: Utah 91% to win, called at 70%.
Call 70% Alert 91% at Q4 2:09Last live read 94% (Q4 1:29)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 4
- Utah avg margin
- +21.5
Only 4 graded games on Utah so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Utah's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Utah win chance | 70% | 70% |
- Pick locked: Utah at 70%.
- Market closed with Utah at 70%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q4 2:09: Utah 91% to win, called at 70%.
- Final: Houston 13–21 Utah. Right.
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