The record · CFB
Texas A&M at Alabama: our pick
We called Alabama at 85%, locked Oct 24, 1:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Texas A&M 20–31 Alabama. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 85% is the betting market's own price for Alabama: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.0 points away from Alabama.
Our last 6 graded calls on Alabama: 4 right.
At 85%, a pick like this still loses about 15 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 6:39 PM ET at Q4 10:01: Alabama 97% to win, called at 85%.
Call 85% Alert 97% at Q4 10:01Last live read 99% (Q4 1:15)
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- Alabama avg margin
- +11.8
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Alabama's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Alabama win chance | 85% | 85% |
- Pick locked: Alabama at 85%.
- Market closed with Alabama at 85%, 0.0 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q4 10:01: Alabama 97% to win, called at 85%.
- Final: Texas A&M 20–31 Alabama. Right.
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