The record · CFB
Ole Miss at Texas: our pick
We called Texas at 59%, locked Oct 24, 5:39 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Ole Miss 27–34 Texas. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 59% is the betting market's own price for Texas: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on Texas: 2 right.
At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 24, 8:36 PM ET at Q1 0:55: Texas 79% to win, called at 59%.
Call 59% Alert 79% at Q1 0:55Last live read 97% (Q4 0:48)
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Texas avg margin
- +7.3
Only 3 graded games on Texas so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Texas's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Texas win chance | 59% | 59% |
- Pick locked: Texas at 59%.
- Market closed with Texas at 59%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 0:55: Texas 79% to win, called at 59%.
- Final: Ole Miss 27–34 Texas. Right.
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