The record · CFB
New Mexico State at Sam Houston: our pick
We called New Mexico State at 55%, locked Oct 21, 7:50 PM ET, less than an hour before kickoff.
Final: New Mexico State 30–24 Sam Houston. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 55% is the betting market's own price for New Mexico State: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 1 graded call on New Mexico State: 1 right.
At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 1
- New Mexico State avg margin
- -19.0
Only 1 graded game on New Mexico State so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: New Mexico State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State win chance | 55% | 55% |
| New Mexico State spread | -1 | -1 |
| Total | 45 | 45 |
- Pick locked: New Mexico State at 55%.
- Market closed with New Mexico State at 55%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: New Mexico State 30–24 Sam Houston. Right.
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