The record · CFB
South Alabama at Marshall: our pick
We called South Alabama at 58%, locked Oct 20, 6:51 PM ET, less than an hour before kickoff.
Final: South Alabama 13–20 Marshall. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 58% is the betting market's own price for South Alabama: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 4 graded calls on South Alabama: 3 right.
At 58%, a pick like this still loses about 42 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 75%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 4
- South Alabama avg margin
- +6.3
Only 4 graded games on South Alabama so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: South Alabama's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| South Alabama win chance | 58% | 58% |
| South Alabama spread | -1 | -1 |
| Total | 65.5 | 65.5 |
- Pick locked: South Alabama at 58%.
- Market closed with South Alabama at 58%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: South Alabama 13–20 Marshall. Wrong.
Fingerprint
2f48b6eec3402479409d85f2fe55553e50ef484ef4269edbdc1f3e06761ca828